The Bengals/Colts shootout Sunday went over the total in the first half!You might classify the Cleveland
Browns in the Chicago Bears category, too: Plodding offense, tough defense. He has an abundance
of defensive talent, and limited offensive options along with a rookie quarterback. 70% of the
Rams games have gone over the total this season (7-3). The Jets are 4-2 under
the total on the road where the offense is averaging just 7 points per game!
The Steelers can't wait for Ben Roethlisberger to get healthy, and notice Pittsburgh is 5-0
under the total on the road with a tough defense and a conservative offense without
Big Ben. The NY Jets have an incredibly anemic offense rotating four QBs this season.
The Bengals got them for close to 500 yards Sunday. Did you see the Rams
flop at home Sunday in a 38-28 loss tn requin to the Cardinals? The game sailed over
the total, which is not a surprise as the Rams have the fourth-worst defense in
the NFL. The Bears are 8-2 under the total this season. And the Patriots miss
Crennel. After starting the season 5-0 under the total, the Colts offense has begun to
click, while the defense has begun to bend more and Indy is 5-0 over the
total the last five contests. Cold weather is tougher on offenses, as is chilling winds
and snow which is also something that will become more common.The Colts improved defense was
one of the big surprises of the NFL season. It's those type of team strengths
and weaknesses (bad defense, good offense) that handicappers look for when examining totals. Head coach
Romeo Crennel has a great defensive mind, winning three of the last four Super Bowls
as nike pas cher coordinator of the Patriots defense. Along with his absence and numerous injuries to the
secondary, the Patriots are 6-3 over the total, with a fine passing attack but a
suddenly poor secondary.Injuries, too, can change a team significantly. Stats, styles, coaching and weather all
contribute to overs and unders.Bryan Leonard is a documented member of the Professional Handicappers League.
The Rams are 4-1 over the total at home, too, on their slick artificial carpet.Speaking
of Lovie Smith, he's since gone on to be head coach of the Chicago Bears.
Northern cities like Chicago, New York, Boston, Philly and Pittsburgh are getting cold this time
of year. The Rams have a high octane offense with loads of weapons in the
running and passing game, but the defense has been poor the last two years under
coordinator Larry Marmie, who replaced the popular Lovie Smith. But notice they haven't been as
strong of late, giving up over 20 points in 4 of the last 5 games.
It's essential to check weather conditions on game day. Think that's just a trend? Smith
ran the same formula a year ago as Chicago went 10-6 under the total, meaning
they are 18-8 under since he's become Bears coach!Handicapping totals is about line value, but
it's also about the styles a football team plays. It's obvious Marmie does not possess
Smith's talent for defense. It's no surprise that Smith prefers to win games with his
defense and play conservative offensively with a rookie QB. The Browns are improved defensively under
his guidance, going 8-2 under the total. Another factor to keep in mind as we
come down the stretch of the NFL season is weather. Read all of his
articles at [http://www.procappers.com/Bryan_Leonard.htm].
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